Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 186.925916 204.240015 221.902197 241.237237 261.777823 282.917976 306.289442
2024-12-22 160.132592 186.233092 214.037301 245.734007 280.738055 318.087122 360.822838
2024-12-29 142.146793 175.091543 211.591477 254.712468 303.940636 358.073100 421.775075
2025-01-05 126.249651 164.184845 207.777235 260.970516 323.509260 394.096545 479.165671
2025-01-12 109.897620 150.768815 199.429996 260.656300 334.627543 420.122562 525.375364
2025-01-19 96.300829 139.102993 191.809196 260.039221 344.541066 444.299899 569.436486
2025-01-26 89.047432 134.537071 192.199959 268.658386 365.314263 481.410918 629.254656
2025-02-02 82.181862 129.678804 191.576789 275.517788 383.662641 515.620988 685.963317
2025-02-09 76.518242 125.802117 191.711409 282.956572 402.543990 550.533112 743.880733
2025-02-16 71.251709 121.919755 191.388026 289.459003 420.067748 583.812323 800.114250
2025-02-23 61.814463 111.122232 180.809407 281.521813 418.210978 592.202854 824.990100
2025-03-02 55.015123 103.572401 174.149631 278.337878 422.155455 607.693929 858.712885
2025-03-09 50.258875 98.852138 171.359801 280.511407 433.512251 633.293499 906.282091
2025-03-16 46.329509 95.087652 169.699654 284.115971 446.814826 661.644272 957.887791
2025-03-23 44.150910 93.991804 171.912293 293.267346 467.896693 700.603386 1023.898688
2025-03-30 41.508988 91.852413 172.342946 299.721813 485.260610 734.815654 1084.132530
2025-04-06 37.536071 86.993001 168.188721 299.098981 492.469101 755.335437 1126.435089
2025-04-13 33.916906 82.381707 164.087125 298.259416 499.168640 775.100032 1167.842640
2025-04-20 32.623525 81.958065 166.711945 307.692791 520.804860 815.572710 1237.483889
2025-04-27 31.067914 80.871439 168.128785 315.212405 539.712331 852.471306 1302.679727
2025-05-04 29.748447 80.106379 169.988725 323.387475 559.637398 890.953606 1370.363355
2025-05-11 28.345667 79.031552 171.223264 330.537589 578.105692 927.584791 1435.883619
2025-05-18 24.573789 72.621471 162.780910 321.777241 572.442420 930.034253 1454.405343